The weather report is more relevant this time of year and appears to be a major factor this week.

Again, all official plays will be posted in Discord first, so I'd advise getting in there if you haven't already done so. Key numbers are incredibly important to totals and team totals. *Betting lines are accurate at the time they're posted in Discord. Get a full year of our subscription for as low as $10, or 2 months for $5! Find out how. Beyond picks, our betting subscription includes tools that can't be found anywhere else. Go to #Role-Assign and opt into any of the different options to receive push notifications whenever a play is released by the 4for4 team. Working around key numbers is critical, and concentrating on one team or matchup helps eliminate a bit of variance in each bet.Īll of our plays are released through our subscriber Discord. I will bring you my favorite totals of the week in this space all season long, focusing on what I believe to be the most significant inefficiency in the market: individual team totals. Our Team and Player Stat Explorer tools can help.

Utilize metrics like success rate and explosive play rates over total yards and points against. Whenever possible, lean into situation-adjusted stats over raw counting stats.

The more we can contextualize in-season data and adjust it for the situation and opponent, the better. Handicapping NFL sides and totals is not a perfect science, though it gets easier to navigate as the season progresses.

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